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  1 links from elsewhere to this Post. Click to view. #91 (permalink)  
Old 03-25-2007
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrewl View Post
I think that is exactly what happens. You just described the greenhouse effect essentially.

Andrew
So, if increased plant life causes more CO2 in the atmosphere, why don't we just continue to "save the planet" by clear cutting the rain forrests?

My HS chemistry taught me that a warm liquid can't hold as much CO2 as a cold liquid.......nah, it can't possibly be explainable by REAL science.
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  #92 (permalink)  
Old 03-25-2007
Cato Cato is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
great.

you point out which ones and we'll discuss those.
Again, no thank you. I don't debate religion. You're right, Daisy. The AAAS is right. We're heading for Armageddon and we should all be deathly afraid. Please, forgive this sinner.
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  #93 (permalink)  
Old 03-26-2007
daisym daisym is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

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Originally Posted by Cato View Post
Again, no thank you. I don't debate religion. You're right, Daisy. The AAAS is right. We're heading for Armageddon and we should all be deathly afraid. Please, forgive this sinner.
well Cato - I don't think the AAAS has talked about Armageddon, and I haven't either.

I'm interested in addressing these issues so that the future will be less difficult for my grandchldren, and their children etc ....

However, if you can't substantiate your claims that the AAAS document includes several statements that are not only demonstrably false, but are also rejected by many AGW proponents, then I can understand why you are not prepared to respond.
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  #94 (permalink)  
Old 03-26-2007
Cato Cato is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
well Cato - I don't think the AAAS has talked about Armageddon, and I haven't either.
"global climate change... is a growing threat to society.... rapidly melting glaciers, increase in extreme weather, rising sea level, shifts in species ranges, and more... droughts, heat waves, floods, wildfires and severe storms is occurring... early warning signs of even more devastating damage to come..."

Droughts, heat waves, floods, famine, pestilence.... Sounds like it's right out of Revelations.
Quote:
However, if you can't substantiate your claims that the AAAS document includes several statements that are not only demonstrably false, but are also rejected by many AGW proponents, then I can understand why you are not prepared to respond.
I can, but it wouldn't be a responsible use of my time. I can also substantiate how many statements in the Bible are demonstrably false, but I wouldn't attempt to do so with a devout Christian. You're firmly in the grasp of the Church of Global Warming, Daisy, and no amount of reason will sway you. You used to be a reasonable person, capable of thought and logic. Now you're getting your science and opinion from magazine publishers. I don't know what happened.
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  #95 (permalink)  
Old 03-26-2007
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Andrewl Andrewl is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by jpsartre12 View Post
So, if increased plant life causes more CO2 in the atmosphere, why don't we just continue to "save the planet" by clear cutting the rain forrests?
Heavily diverse ecosystems and their decay over long periods of time are responsible for an important component of naturally occurring greenhouse gases. Without this naturally occurring long term process the earth would be a much cooler place.

Quote:
My HS chemistry taught me that a warm liquid can't hold as much CO2 as a cold liquid.......nah, it can't possibly be explainable by REAL science.
Im sure solubility does play a role.

Andrew
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  #96 (permalink)  
Old 03-27-2007
daisym daisym is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cato View Post
"global climate change... is a growing threat to society.... rapidly melting glaciers, increase in extreme weather, rising sea level, shifts in species ranges, and more... droughts, heat waves, floods, wildfires and severe storms is occurring... early warning signs of even more devastating damage to come..."

Droughts, heat waves, floods, famine, pestilence.... Sounds like it's right out of Revelations.
there is a bit of a difference. melting glaciers HAVE been documented, rising sea levels HAVE been documented, the increase in extreme weather ... well ... there's no proof that events have been CAUSED by climate change, however certainly the weather events match what has been predicted. Shifts in species range are certainly occuring, and it is fairly well known what the impact will be ... Today I saw a source that suggested that changes in ant behaviour in Australia may affect the distribution and long term survival of several rare plant species ..... droughts heatwaves, floods, wildfires ... all occuring in recent years ... AND in line with the 'predictions' of scientists ... which weren't based on reading entrails ... or the stars ... but on the basis of scientific knowledge.

If you don't understand the difference between this, and the book of revelations which was cobbled together almost two thousand years ago from a very different basis ... well Cato ...

In the former, scientists use knowledge to evaluate the likelihood of certain types of events. Based on this information I am interested in looking at ways to minimise risk for future generations. In the case of rising sea levels, if the seas were likely to rise, say 5 metres in a hundred years (which is an absolute worst case scenario and a lot more than IPCC predictions) it wouldn't happen all in one hit, and forewarned is forearmed. In that period of time strategies could be put in place to develop and irrigate land on higher ground, and to gradually shift populations. Its sensible to think about the possible impact of rising sea levels. On the other hand, biblical prophecies are basically designed to strike fear into the hearts of all as a means to gain forced conversions. They offer no hope of solution - only 'salvation' for the fearful.

There is a considerable difference between science, based on knowledge, and religion, based on faith.

I am surprised you don't understand that.

Quote:
I can, but it wouldn't be a responsible use of my time. I can also substantiate how many statements in the Bible are demonstrably false, but I wouldn't attempt to do so with a devout Christian.
well of course not. faith isn't based on reason

Quote:
You're firmly in the grasp of the Church of Global Warming, Daisy, and no amount of reason will sway you. You used to be a reasonable person, capable of thought and logic. Now you're getting your science and opinion from magazine publishers. I don't know what happened.
I must say I am surprised at this coming from you Cato. I had always thought that, even though we disagreed, you were a reasonable and logical person who would never resort to such tactics as denigrating your opponent in this way.

I can only guess at why you might behave in this way.
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  #97 (permalink)  
Old 03-27-2007
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Imperator Imperator is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Gore Explains Global Warming to Congress

WASHINGTON, DC --- Al Gore came to Capitol Hill to explain global warming to Congress in simple terms that everyone could understand. He compared global warming to a baby with a fever.

"When your baby has a fever, what do you do?" said Gore. "You don't ignore it and hope it goes away. You fly that baby to the best hospital in the world on your private jet. You buy that baby new organs on the Chinese black market. You put that baby on a ventilator in a germ-free chamber with ten armed guards standing over him. You also destroy that baby's enemies with everything in your power. And that should explain global warming and what we need to do in order to stop it. I estimate that it would only take $13 billion per person in America to start earth's healing process. We have to move before it's too late."




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  #98 (permalink)  
Old 03-27-2007
Cato Cato is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
melting glaciers HAVE been documented
We know enough of about 80 out of the some 6000 glaciers on this planet to make this statement. That is, you're basing your belief of global warming on the fact that less than .01% of the glaciers on this planet are melting. Not even all of the ones we know enough about to claim they are melting or not are even melting.
Quote:
rising sea levels HAVE been documented, the increase in extreme weather ... well ... there's no proof that events have been CAUSED by climate change, however certainly the weather events match what has been predicted.
Sea levels have been rising for a long, long time - about 10,000 years. There has been no increase in extreme weather. If you come back with, "Yes there has." Then I want sources to prove this.
Quote:
Shifts in species range are certainly occuring,
And they always have - species move around.

Regardless, this, and all the other apocalyptic "evidence", even if true, would only mean the planet is warming - something it's been doing since the acme of the current ice age. It says nothing about whether we caused it, or whether we can prevent it.

To believe we can control this planet's massive atmosphere by manipulating less than 1% of its composition makes absolutely no sense.
Quote:
On the other hand, biblical prophecies are basically designed to strike fear into the hearts of all as a means to gain forced conversions.
"I believe it is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous (global warming) is..." - Al Gore
Quote:
well of course not. faith isn't based on reason
Any belief without proof is faith.
Quote:
I must say I am surprised at this coming from you Cato. I had always thought that, even though we disagreed, you were a reasonable and logical person who would never resort to such tactics as denigrating your opponent in this way.
I'm not denigrating you at all, Daisy. You yourself admitted your belief is faith. How is it denigrating to agree with you? I've written how sad this makes me - to see a reasonable and logical person like you abandon reason and logic.
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  #99 (permalink)  
Old 03-27-2007
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jpsartre12 jpsartre12 is online now
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
I wonder if the AAAS Board statement (Dec 2006) is good enough for you?

It opens with:

Quote:

The scientific evidence is clear: global climate change caused by human activities is occuring now, and it is a growing threat to society. Accumulating data from across the globe reveal a wide array of effects: rapidly melting glaciers, increase in extreme weather, rising sea level, shifts in species ranges, and more. The pace of change and the evidence of harm have increased markedly over the last five years. The time to control greenhouse gas emissions is now.
The atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, a critical greenhouse gas, is higher than it has been for at least 650,000 years. The average temperature of the Earth is heading for levels not experienced for millions of years. Scientific predictions of the impacts of increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases from fossil fuels and deforestation match observed changes. As expected, intensification of droughts, heat waves, floods, wildfires and severe storms is occurring, with a mounting toll on vulnerable ecosystems and societies. These events are early warning signs of even more devastating damage to come, some of which will be irreversible.

Delaying actions to address climate change will increase the environmental and societal consequences as well as the costs. The longer we wait to tackle climate change, the harder and more expensive the task will be.
[/quote]
There are plenty of scientists that dispute the AAAS' assertion that global warming is causing more intense storms, for example. The facts just don't support their Chicken Little assertions.


Quote:
Reply to “Hurricanes
and Global Warming—
Potential Linkages and
Consequences”
—ROGER PIELKE JR.
Center for Science and Technology Policy Research
University of Colorado
Boulder, Colorado
—CHRISTOPHER LANDSEA
NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division
Miami, Florida
—MAX MAYFIELD
Tropical Prediction Center
Miami, Florida
—JIM LAVER
Climate Prediction Center
NOAA/National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Camp Springs, Maryland
—RICHARD PASCH
Tropical Prediction Center
Miami, Florida

…...
Anthes et al. (2006) present three criticisms of our
paper. One criticism is that Pielke et al. (2005) “leaves
the impression that there is no significant connection
between recent climate change caused by human
activities and hurricane characteristics and impacts.”
If by “significant” they mean either (a) presence in
the peer-reviewed literature or (b) discernible in the
observed economic impacts, then this is indeed an
accurate reading. Anthes et al. (2006) provide no
data, analyses, or references that directly connect
observed hurricane characteristics and impacts to
anthropogenic climate change.
Anthes et al. (2006) include several important inconsistencies.
First, Anthes et al. (2006) cite Emanuel
(2005a) and Webster et al. (2005) to support claims of
attribution of trends in hurricane intensity to global
warming, when neither of those papers focused on
attribution. Emanuel (2005a) expressed some uncertainty
as to the factors responsible for the trends
presented in that paper, stating “Whatever the cause,
the near doubling of power dissipation over the period
of record should be a matter of some concern”
(emphasis added). Webster et al. (2005) even go so far
as to observe that “attribution of the 30-year trends
to global warming would require a longer global data
record and, especially, a deeper understanding of the
role of hurricanes in the general circulation of the
atmosphere and ocean, even in the present climate
state.”1 Future research may indeed demonstrate
attribution, but until that time we should not make
the mistake of confusing interesting hypotheses with
conclusive research results.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/reply_globwarm.pdf
Quote:
One last final wild card in all of this is how ENSO may change in a 2 x CO2 world, as ENSO is the largest single factor controlling year-to-year variability of tropical cyclones globally (Landsea 1997a). If El Niño events occur more often or with more intensity, then the inhabitants along the Atlantic basin and in Australia would likely have fewer tropical cyclones to worry about, whereas people living in the South Central Pacific would have more storms to prepare for. The reverse would be true if La Niña events became more prevalent. As described earlier, El Niño events indeed have become more frequent in occurrence during the most recent two decades, actually resulting in some of the changes noted above. It is currently unknown whether this trend toward more El Niño events is simply natural variability or is due to anthropogenic forcing.

Overall, it is difficult to assess globally how changes of tropical cyclone intensities (both the mean and the maximum), frequencies, and area of occurrence may change in a 2 x CO2 world. It is because of this uncertainty that the 1995 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment (Houghton et al. 1996) came out with this straightforward admission:

"The formation of tropical cyclones depends not only on sea surface temperature (SST), but also on a number of atmospheric factors. Although some models now represent tropical storms with some realism for present day climate, the state of the science does not allow assessment of future changes."
Clearly, much more investigation is needed to narrow down the uncertainties that are currently in this field of tropical cyclone climate change. Currently, there is no convincing evidence that there will be a systematic increase in the tropical cyclone mean intensity, maximum intensity or frequency due to increases in "greenhouse gases". Nor, for that matter, is there strong evidence for decreases in hurricane, typhoons and tropical cyclones. It may turn out that changes around the globe will not be consistent; some regions may experience more activity, others less.

Climate Variability of Tropical Cyclones:
Even the IPCC admits that they don't know what the hell they're talking about.
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  #100 (permalink)  
Old 03-27-2007
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Anselme Anselme is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by Samantha View Post
Does anyone feel we shouldn't be trying to stop polluting the air/water/earth?
Bush Administration:

YouTube - We fuck the world

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  #101 (permalink)  
Old 03-28-2007
Cato Cato is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by Anselme View Post
Bush Administration:

YouTube - We fuck the world

And yet the facts wouldn't exactly support that claim. The truth is, our water, air, and land are in the best shape they've been in for over 40 years. And most environmental regulations continue to get more strict as the years pass.
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  #102 (permalink)  
Old 03-28-2007
chrisw chrisw is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cato View Post
And yet the facts wouldn't exactly support that claim. The truth is, our water, air, and land are in the best shape they've been in for over 40 years. And most environmental regulations continue to get more strict as the years pass.
Yes, We've gone an astounding 38 years without any major bodies of water Catching On Fire...

This must mean we won. Obviously nothing left to worry about when the water isn't combustable.
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  #103 (permalink)  
Old 03-28-2007
daisym daisym is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

@ Cato

Quote:
We know enough of about 80 out of the some 6000 glaciers on this planet to make this statement. That is, you're basing your belief of global warming on the fact that less than .01% of the glaciers on this planet are melting. Not even all of the ones we know enough about to claim they are melting or not are even melting.
perhaps you would be so kind as to refer to which studies have shown NO glacial melt. I found a quick search provided links to hundreds of studies, including small and large, significant glaciers, distributed through all climate zones.

I am sure that scientists would be interested to know which glaciers are not melting at all ... even East antarctica is losing ice.

Quote:
Sea levels have been rising for a long, long time - about 10,000 years. There has been no increase in extreme weather. If you come back with, "Yes there has." Then I want sources to prove this.
yes sea levels HAVE been rising for a long time, however its easy to find evidence that in many regions the rise in has accelerated.

I haven't seen evidence that provides PROOF that intense hurricanes are going to be caused by climate change, only that it is likely that increased ocean temperatures may influence the severity. There have been variations in precipitation patterns in recent years - which in many instances have resulted in severe flooding. This is in line with predictions, although again, I don't believe it provides proof. I have studied enough history to be aware that these variations may occur naturally.

Quote:
And they always have - species move around.
yes they do, and there are a range of variables that can influence this. However are you implying that biologists haven't taken that into consideration before publishing their findings?

Quote:
Regardless, this, and all the other apocalyptic "evidence", even if true, would only mean the planet is warming - something it's been doing since the acme of the current ice age. It says nothing about whether we caused it, or whether we can prevent it.
on the surface, no - however the majority of scientists from around the globe who have been studying these patterns for years have come to the conclusion that there is a 90% certainty that anthropogenic factors play a part.

I don't see why I should trust them less than an accountant - and I'd rather bet that they know what they are talking about than a stockbroker.

Quote:
To believe we can control this planet's massive atmosphere by manipulating less than 1% of its composition makes absolutely no sense.
maybe. but it will depend. how much cyanide do you need to add to a drink before it will poison you?


Quote:
"I believe it is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous (global warming) is..." - Al Gore
Please don't quote Gore at me. I haven't seen his film and have no interest in seeing it. My daughter tells me the film was totally over the top. He doesn't appear to have a focus that I can relate to.

Quote:
Any belief without proof is faith.
I don't think that believing that scientists, who have spent decades researching issues, is 'faith' in quite the same sense as religious faith.

Quote:
I'm not denigrating you at all, Daisy. You yourself admitted your belief is faith. How is it denigrating to agree with you? I've written how sad this makes me - to see a reasonable and logical person like you abandon reason and logic.
I think Cato you are smart enough to realize that I am not basing my beliefs on abstract concepts of churchmen.

Also Cato - you started this thread promoting a so called documentary that 'proved' the Global Warming theory was a swindle. I posted a link that showed, citing reputable science journals, that the theories proposed had been refuted.

Did you have anything further to say re this?
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  #104 (permalink)  
Old 03-28-2007
daisym daisym is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by jpsartre12 View Post
There are plenty of scientists that dispute the AAAS' assertion that global warming is causing more intense storms, for example. The facts just don't support their Chicken Little assertions.
I started looking up these guys you referred to, JP - and I don't have an issue with them at all - they are - and quite rightly - not convinced of a link between hurricanes and global warming - however, for your information, Chris Landsea did say: "we certainly see substantial warming in the ocean and atmosphere over the last several decades on the order of a degree Fahrenheit, and I have no doubt a portion of that, at least, is due to greenhouse warming. The question is whether we're seeing any real increases in the hurricane activity."

Quote:
Even the IPCC admits that they don't know what the hell they're talking about.
and????

I thought it was pretty common knowledge that while it is true that increased water temperatures MAY influence intensity of cyclones etc - there is no proof that cyclonic activity IS linked to climate change.
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  #105 (permalink)  
Old 03-28-2007
Cato Cato is offline
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Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
perhaps you would be so kind as to refer to which studies have shown NO glacial melt. I found a quick search provided links to hundreds of studies, including small and large, significant glaciers, distributed through all climate zones.

I am sure that scientists would be interested to know which glaciers are not melting at all ... even East antarctica is losing ice.
I'm not going to provide the studies because most are in subscription journals. Here are a a few news articles from all over the world. Even one that attributes the growth to global warming. I love that, don't you? If glaciers melt, it's global warming. If glaciers grow, it's global warming.
Quote:
yes sea levels HAVE been rising for a long time, however its easy to find evidence that in many regions the rise in has accelerated.
I thought we were talking about a global problem and not a regio